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تأكيد امتلاكنا للصواريخ الصينية والباكستانية
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رد: تأكيد امتلاكنا للصواريخ الصينية والباكستانية
المشاركة الأصلية بواسطة النمر العربي مشاهدة المشاركة
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رد: تأكيد امتلاكنا للصواريخ الصينية والباكستانية
المشاركة الأصلية بواسطة درع وسيف مشاهدة المشاركةمنوظومه صواريخ قويه ولكن هل تعتقد اخوي نمر ان اعدادها كافيه في حال حدوث اي مواجه مع الفرس او الاحتلال اليهودي ؟
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رد: تأكيد امتلاكنا للصواريخ الصينية والباكستانية
المشاركة الأصلية بواسطة Mosamania مشاهدة المشاركةالصورة هذي توضح الترسانة الصينية على ما اعتقد ووضعها الأخ نمر المعلومات فقط، اما الصورة الاساسية لا تظهر.
الصواريخ التي يتحدث عنها التقرير
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رد: تأكيد امتلاكنا للصواريخ الصينية والباكستانية
المشاركة الأصلية بواسطة F15as مشاهدة المشاركةالسعوديه تمتلك 3 انواع صينيه
DF-3
DF-21
DF-15
ونوعين باكستاني
غوری2
وشاهين
ولو تتذكر هذه الصورة لعرفت القصد جيدا
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رد: تأكيد امتلاكنا للصواريخ الصينية والباكستانية
المشاركة الأصلية بواسطة النمر العربي مشاهدة المشاركة
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رد: تأكيد امتلاكنا للصواريخ الصينية والباكستانية
INSS Insight No. 520, February 24, 2014
Saudi Arabia’s New Missile Force
Yiftah Shapir and Yoel Guzansky
A recent article in Newsweek reported that “according to a well-placed intelligence
source,” in 2007 Saudi Arabia began to purchase CSS-5 (DF-21) ground-to-ground
missiles from China. While similar reports appeared in the past, the recently published
information is distinguished by its confirmation by an official – albeit anonymous –
source, and by the revelation that the Americans knew about the Saudi-Chinese deal and
were involved in it. The report raises many questions about the Saudis’ motivations, the
implications of the deal, and the timing of the exposure.
Denied purchase of ground-to-ground missiles by the United States in the 1980s, the
Saudis, unbeknownst to the United States, purchased about ten launchers and several
dozen Chinese DF-3A missiles (called CSS-2 by NATO), which apparently were
customized to carry conventional warheads. The missiles were stationed in a number of
sites in Saudi Arabia and maintained by Chinese technicians. The covert deal led to a
crisis in relations between Riyadh and Washington, particularly because the missiles were
originally intended to carry nuclear warheads. The crisis ended when Saudi Arabia
agreed to join the NPT.
The DF-3A missiles were already outdated when the Saudis purchased them, and it was
only a matter of time until they would seek to replace them or add more modern missiles
to their arsenal. Moreover, these missiles use liquid fuel, are cumbersome to prepare for
launching, and have low accuracy. And indeed, for several years there have been reports
on Saudi expansion of its missile arsenal. In 2009, the existence of additional sites
suspected of belonging to the Saudi missile arsenal was reported. A book by a former
CIA employee published in 2010 even claimed that in 2003, the Saudis, with the
knowledge of the United States, purchased advanced ground-to-ground missiles capable
of carrying nuclear warheads. Also in 2010, there were reports that the strategic missile
arsenal was being upgraded and that a new headquarters was dedicated outside of Riyadh
for the kingdom’s Strategic Missile Force. Already then, doubts surfaced as to whether
the Saudis needed the facility if they still had the old missiles.
INSS Insight No. 520 Saudi Arabia’s New Missile Force
The latest report confirms the previous ones: the Saudis did in fact purchase missiles
from China, with the knowledge of the United States. According to the report, CIA
personnel examined the missiles in Saudi Arabia in order to confirm that they did not
carry nuclear warheads. It may be that the deal was not revealed until now because the
Americans examined the missiles and were not concerned by what they found or because
of a desire to avoid embarrassment on both sides. The Americans may also have
understood that if they were not involved in the process, Saudi Arabia could do without
them, as it did in the past, and they preferred to retain control of the process.
The Dong Feng 21 missile (East Wind 21) is a two-stage ballistic missile that uses solid
fuel, which shortens the launch preparation time and makes maintenance easier. It has a
range of some 1,700 kilometers and can carry a load of about 600 kilograms. It is much
more accurate than the old DF-3A, and its CEP (Circular Error Probable, a measure of
accuracy) is estimated at about 300-400 meters. Its later models are also equipped with
terminal guidance, which enables it to hit pinpoint targets (though it is unlikely that these
later models were exported).
It is possible that the Saudis have purchased other missiles in addition to the DF-21,
including other models produced in China (such as the DF-11 or the DF-15) or Pakistanimade
missiles, such as one of the Shaheen series. Moreover, the Saudi efforts to acquire
long range weapons have extended to cruise missiles, and the British reportedly sold the
kingdom Storm Shadow cruise missiles as part of the Saudi program to upgrade its
Tornado jets. The missile has a range of some 500 kilometers (and therefore, its export is
restricted under the Missile Technology Control Regime agreements). An unofficial
confirmation of the sale of the missile appeared in WikiLeaks documents in 2009, and in
2013 it was reported that in contrast to previous refusals, the United States had agreed to
sell the Saudis SLAM-ER cruise missiles.
While the new missiles have a shorter range than their predecessors, they have better
accuracy. This gives them a greater deterrent value in Saudi eyes, even if they have
conventional warheads, because of their ability to hit government buildings, strategic
facilities, and military bases in Iran. Does the presence of these missiles significantly
change the military balance in the region? Not as long as the missiles are armed with
conventional warheads.
The recent Newsweek report raises new questions as to the kingdom’s intentions in the
nuclear realm. Officials in Saudi Arabia, which is in the midst of a significant
conventional military buildup, have often stated that the kingdom is focusing on a nuclear
program to meet the country’s energy needs and reduce its dependence on oil. However,
Saudi Arabia has previously examined the military nuclear path, and to this end, has
increased its cooperation with a number of countries, in particular Pakistan. It has had
military cooperation with Pakistan for some years, and funded part of its nuclear
INSS Insight No. 520 Saudi Arabia’s New Missile Force
program. In addition, several unusual comments from Riyadh since 2011 have indicated
Saudi Arabia’s willingness to examine the nuclear path if the international community is
unable to prevent Iran from attaining military nuclear capability. Because Saudi Arabia
lacks an independent knowledge infrastructure, if it makes a decision to pursue a nuclear
option, it will presumably prefer to purchase an off-the-shelf nuclear deterrent.
The Saudis’ motivation in purchasing the missiles is Iran’s progress in its missile
program and the growth and improvement in its ground-to-ground missile arsenal. It is
possible that the progress in the Iranian nuclear program will lead to increased Saudi
pressure on Pakistan to provide the kingdom with some type of nuclear guarantees,
whether through extended deterrence, the stationing of nuclear forces in Saudi Arabia, or
transfer of nuclear warheads to the Saudis for installation on the new missiles (in a
regulated move or by turning a blind eye).
Not only have Saudi Arabia’s concerns not been mitigated by the interim agreement
signed with the Islamic Republic; they have actually intensified, if only because of the
agreement’s significance for Iran’s international and regional status. The Saudis are
anxious about the Iranian buildup, and it may be that the “revelations” on its missile
arsenal are part of an attempt by Saudi Arabia to make its fears public. Furthermore, the
report on the American involvement comes in advance of an expected visit by President
Obama to the kingdom, which inter alia is designed to assuage Saudi fears that current
American policy endangers Saudi security interests.
In recent years, the discussion on strategic issues inside and outside the kingdom has
become more public, and therefore, it is likely that further “revelations” can be expected.
This is due to the negotiations with Iran and the significance Riyadh attributes to
deterrent signals of this kind. The deal itself is also significant, indicating China’s
growing interest in selling advanced weaponry to the region (and to Saudi Arabia,
China’s largest oil supplier), but perhaps also the weakness of America’s standing in the
region.
To date there is no solid evidence that Saudi Arabia intends to pursue the nuclear route,
even though nuclear weapons in Iranian hands would be a grave threat to the kingdom.
However, in light of its great wealth and relative military weakness, Saudi Arabia will
likely seek to construct security arrangements that will lend it more independence in
decision making and better chances of maintaining a stable balance of deterrence in the
Gulf over time. This is because of the tension in relations with the United States and the
fear that it will reduce its involvement in the region after improving its relations with
Iran, which would once again turn Iran into the dominant power in the Gulf.
It is not clear whether Israel has received any guarantees from the United States (perhaps
even from Saudi Arabia) about the deals in question. Israel, as a rule, does not favor
equipping an Arab state with advanced weapons that are capable of threatening it too. In
INSS Insight No. 520 Saudi Arabia’s New Missile Force
the past, Israel actively opposed any such buildup. However, in recent years, given the
joint Iranian threat, Israel has preferred to turn a blind eye to Saudi Arabia’s military
buildup (and that of the other Gulf states), which has even been perceived in Jerusalem as
an advantage. Nevertheless, Saudi Arabia’s arming itself with modern ballistic missiles
should worry Israel. In addition to the fact that these weapons are in the hands of a state
hostile to Israel, the buildup, particularly the silence surrounding it, and the nature of US
involvement, bode ill for the stability of the region and the struggle against missile
proliferation.
تعليق
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رد: تأكيد امتلاكنا للصواريخ الصينية والباكستانية
INSS Insight No. 520, February 24, 2014الحين ناقشو ههههه
Saudi Arabia’s New Missile Force
Yiftah Shapir and Yoel Guzansky
A recent article in Newsweek reported that “according to a well-placed intelligence
source,” in 2007 Saudi Arabia began to purchase CSS-5 (DF-21) ground-to-ground
missiles from China. While similar reports appeared in the past, the recently published
information is distinguished by its confirmation by an official – albeit anonymous –
source, and by the revelation that the Americans knew about the Saudi-Chinese deal and
were involved in it. The report raises many questions about the Saudis’ motivations, the
implications of the deal, and the timing of the exposure.
Denied purchase of ground-to-ground missiles by the United States in the 1980s, the
Saudis, unbeknownst to the United States, purchased about ten launchers and several
dozen Chinese DF-3A missiles (called CSS-2 by NATO), which apparently were
customized to carry conventional warheads. The missiles were stationed in a number of
sites in Saudi Arabia and maintained by Chinese technicians. The covert deal led to a
crisis in relations between Riyadh and Washington, particularly because the missiles were
originally intended to carry nuclear warheads. The crisis ended when Saudi Arabia
agreed to join the NPT.
The DF-3A missiles were already outdated when the Saudis purchased them, and it was
only a matter of time until they would seek to replace them or add more modern missiles
to their arsenal. Moreover, these missiles use liquid fuel, are cumbersome to prepare for
launching, and have low accuracy. And indeed, for several years there have been reports
on Saudi expansion of its missile arsenal. In 2009, the existence of additional sites
suspected of belonging to the Saudi missile arsenal was reported. A book by a former
CIA employee published in 2010 even claimed that in 2003, the Saudis, with the
knowledge of the United States, purchased advanced ground-to-ground missiles capable
of carrying nuclear warheads. Also in 2010, there were reports that the strategic missile
arsenal was being upgraded and that a new headquarters was dedicated outside of Riyadh
for the kingdom’s Strategic Missile Force. Already then, doubts surfaced as to whether
the Saudis needed the facility if they still had the old missiles.
INSS Insight No. 520 Saudi Arabia’s New Missile Force
The latest report confirms the previous ones: the Saudis did in fact purchase missiles
from China, with the knowledge of the United States. According to the report, CIA
personnel examined the missiles in Saudi Arabia in order to confirm that they did not
carry nuclear warheads. It may be that the deal was not revealed until now because the
Americans examined the missiles and were not concerned by what they found or because
of a desire to avoid embarrassment on both sides. The Americans may also have
understood that if they were not involved in the process, Saudi Arabia could do without
them, as it did in the past, and they preferred to retain control of the process.
The Dong Feng 21 missile (East Wind 21) is a two-stage ballistic missile that uses solid
fuel, which shortens the launch preparation time and makes maintenance easier. It has a
range of some 1,700 kilometers and can carry a load of about 600 kilograms. It is much
more accurate than the old DF-3A, and its CEP (Circular Error Probable, a measure of
accuracy) is estimated at about 300-400 meters. Its later models are also equipped with
terminal guidance, which enables it to hit pinpoint targets (though it is unlikely that these
later models were exported).
It is possible that the Saudis have purchased other missiles in addition to the DF-21,
including other models produced in China (such as the DF-11 or the DF-15) or Pakistanimade
missiles, such as one of the Shaheen series. Moreover, the Saudi efforts to acquire
long range weapons have extended to cruise missiles, and the British reportedly sold the
kingdom Storm Shadow cruise missiles as part of the Saudi program to upgrade its
Tornado jets. The missile has a range of some 500 kilometers (and therefore, its export is
restricted under the Missile Technology Control Regime agreements). An unofficial
confirmation of the sale of the missile appeared in WikiLeaks documents in 2009, and in
2013 it was reported that in contrast to previous refusals, the United States had agreed to
sell the Saudis SLAM-ER cruise missiles.
While the new missiles have a shorter range than their predecessors, they have better
accuracy. This gives them a greater deterrent value in Saudi eyes, even if they have
conventional warheads, because of their ability to hit government buildings, strategic
facilities, and military bases in Iran. Does the presence of these missiles significantly
change the military balance in the region? Not as long as the missiles are armed with
conventional warheads.
The recent Newsweek report raises new questions as to the kingdom’s intentions in the
nuclear realm. Officials in Saudi Arabia, which is in the midst of a significant
conventional military buildup, have often stated that the kingdom is focusing on a nuclear
program to meet the country’s energy needs and reduce its dependence on oil. However,
Saudi Arabia has previously examined the military nuclear path, and to this end, has
increased its cooperation with a number of countries, in particular Pakistan. It has had
military cooperation with Pakistan for some years, and funded part of its nuclear
INSS Insight No. 520 Saudi Arabia’s New Missile Force
program. In addition, several unusual comments from Riyadh since 2011 have indicated
Saudi Arabia’s willingness to examine the nuclear path if the international community is
unable to prevent Iran from attaining military nuclear capability. Because Saudi Arabia
lacks an independent knowledge infrastructure, if it makes a decision to pursue a nuclear
option, it will presumably prefer to purchase an off-the-shelf nuclear deterrent.
The Saudis’ motivation in purchasing the missiles is Iran’s progress in its missile
program and the growth and improvement in its ground-to-ground missile arsenal. It is
possible that the progress in the Iranian nuclear program will lead to increased Saudi
pressure on Pakistan to provide the kingdom with some type of nuclear guarantees,
whether through extended deterrence, the stationing of nuclear forces in Saudi Arabia, or
transfer of nuclear warheads to the Saudis for installation on the new missiles (in a
regulated move or by turning a blind eye).
Not only have Saudi Arabia’s concerns not been mitigated by the interim agreement
signed with the Islamic Republic; they have actually intensified, if only because of the
agreement’s significance for Iran’s international and regional status. The Saudis are
anxious about the Iranian buildup, and it may be that the “revelations” on its missile
arsenal are part of an attempt by Saudi Arabia to make its fears public. Furthermore, the
report on the American involvement comes in advance of an expected visit by President
Obama to the kingdom, which inter alia is designed to assuage Saudi fears that current
American policy endangers Saudi security interests.
In recent years, the discussion on strategic issues inside and outside the kingdom has
become more public, and therefore, it is likely that further “revelations” can be expected.
This is due to the negotiations with Iran and the significance Riyadh attributes to
deterrent signals of this kind. The deal itself is also significant, indicating China’s
growing interest in selling advanced weaponry to the region (and to Saudi Arabia,
China’s largest oil supplier), but perhaps also the weakness of America’s standing in the
region.
To date there is no solid evidence that Saudi Arabia intends to pursue the nuclear route,
even though nuclear weapons in Iranian hands would be a grave threat to the kingdom.
However, in light of its great wealth and relative military weakness, Saudi Arabia will
likely seek to construct security arrangements that will lend it more independence in
decision making and better chances of maintaining a stable balance of deterrence in the
Gulf over time. This is because of the tension in relations with the United States and the
fear that it will reduce its involvement in the region after improving its relations with
Iran, which would once again turn Iran into the dominant power in the Gulf.
It is not clear whether Israel has received any guarantees from the United States (perhaps
even from Saudi Arabia) about the deals in question. Israel, as a rule, does not favor
equipping an Arab state with advanced weapons that are capable of threatening it too. In
INSS Insight No. 520 Saudi Arabia’s New Missile Force
the past, Israel actively opposed any such buildup. However, in recent years, given the
joint Iranian threat, Israel has preferred to turn a blind eye to Saudi Arabia’s military
buildup (and that of the other Gulf states), which has even been perceived in Jerusalem as
an advantage. Nevertheless, Saudi Arabia’s arming itself with modern ballistic missiles
should worry Israel. In addition to the fact that these weapons are in the hands of a state
hostile to Israel, the buildup, particularly the silence surrounding it, and the nature of US
involvement, bode ill for the stability of the region and
the struggle against missile
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أكبر تواجد بالمنتدى كان 182,482, 05-21-2024 الساعة 06:44.
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